Introduction
US financial conditions remain tight with increasing signs that growth may be slowing. Corporates are finding it harder to pass on higher prices to consumers adding pressure to profit margins. Valuations and earnings expectations remain elevated. Outside the US valuations seem fairer with emerging markets trading at attractive valuations. Local bond yields are attractive. Local core inflation remains contained but upside risks are high. Headline inflation has peaked, and we expect the SARB to cut rates later this year. The sovereign credit premium has compressed but remains high. Global developed market bonds remain attractive, given the outlook for softer growth.
Previous Reports
Quarterly Report | Q1 ’25
The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) decreased interest rates by 25 basis points at the January Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting.
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